Match Info

Paraibano - Round 6

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Esporte de Patos		Pombal

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.92	3.2	3.6
	1.93	3.17	3.65
	1.95	3.31	3.61	Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.95	3.18	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esporte de Patos
46.5%

Draw
28.3%

Pombal
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esporte de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pombal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esporte de Patos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pombal than the current prediction. (+2%)

Esporte de Patos - Pombal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Miller (G) 4. Artur Potiguar (C) 17. Capixaba 10. Claudinho 9. Edson Kapa 8. Gustavo Henrique 5. Joao Marcelo 2. Lazaro 11. Mano Walter 7. Matheus Guara 6. Matheus Lima	1. Jailson (G) 11. Dede 2. Felipinho 10. Guila 17. Italo 3. Ivyrson Cardoso da Silva N. 4. Jalison 5. Kiko 8. Lazaro 7. Manu (C) 6. Raphael Paraiba
Substitutes
22. Bruno (G) 13. Carlinhos 3. Eduardo Matuto 19. Gabigol 15. Gabriel Alemao 20. Guilherme 16. Juniel 23. Madson 14. Marcelo Barbosa 21. Marquinhos 18. Mikael 12. Pontes Y. (G)	21. Aguada C. 18. Cleiton 25. Douglas J. 19. Erison 9. Everton Felipe 12. Felipe Viotti (G) 13. Fernando Heilmann A. 22. Figueiredo J. L. (G) 16. Henrique Santos Pereira O. 20. Kaka 23. Linhares da Silva L. 15. Sebastiani F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Manu ↓, Cleiton ↑,
28', Claudinho ↓, Gabigol ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Ivyrson Cardoso da Silva N. ⚽,
59', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Guilherme ↑,
59', Edson Kapa ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
63', Raphael Paraiba ↓, Aguada C. ↑,
63', Guila ↓, Kaka ↑,
77', Cleiton 🟨,
80', Ivyrson Cardoso da Silva N. 🟨,
82', Cleiton ↓, Everton Felipe ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Paraibano 2).

In recent matches, Esporte de Patos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pombal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Esporte de Patos is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Esporte de Patos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esporte Clube de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.26	Sousa - Esporte de Patos	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Serra Branca	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Esporte de Patos	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTLLT
- Pombal EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.26	Pombal - Serra Branca	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Botafogo PB - Pombal	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Pombal - Campinense	2:2 ✺
22.01.26	Pombal - Treze	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Nacional de Patos - Pombal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
12.01.25	Pombal - Esporte de Patos	0:3
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano 2
12.10.23	Pombal - Esporte de Patos	2:3

Esporte de Patos - Pombal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide