The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves 30.8%
Draw 32.6%
Brasil de Pelotas 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
30.9%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
28.7%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esportivo Bento Gonçalves's form might have worsened.
Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 6th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esportivo won 2.
Esportivo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Brasil de Pelotas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Esportivo has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Esportivo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).