Match Info

Date: 30 April 2021, Friday


	Esteghlal		Al-Shorta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.1	8	Watch
	1.33	4.25	9
	1.36	4.4	7.6
	1.37	4.49	10.03
	1.35	4.33	10
	1.37	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	4.39 ↑ (4.1)	8.86 ↑ (8.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
68.3%

Draw
21.2%

Al-Shorta
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

22.2%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

13%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Al-Shorta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-29.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shorta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Esteghlal - Al Shorta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Esteghlal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Shorta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Esteghlal is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
27.04.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	Esteghlal - Al Duhail	2:2 ✺
21.04.21	Al Duhail - Esteghlal	4:3 ✺
18.04.21	Al-Shorta - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
15.04.21	Esteghlal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLWW
- Al-Shorta Damascus
Syrian Premier League
29.04.21	Al-Shorta - Hutteen	1:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
27.04.21	Al-Shorta - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
24.04.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shorta	2:1 ✺
Syrian Premier League
24.04.21	Al-Jaish Damascus - Al-Shorta	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.04.21	Al-Shorta - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
18.04.21	Al-Shorta - Esteghlal	0:3
20.09.20	Esteghlal - Al-Shorta	1:1
10.02.20	Al-Shorta - Esteghlal	1:1

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