Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Estepona		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.7
	1.99	3.4	3.46
	1.86	3.47	3.83	Watch
	1.88	3.3	3.78
	1.85	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.89)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	3.71 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
48.3%

Draw
27%

Almeria B
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Almeria B aligns with the current prediction.

Estepona - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 0, Exposito S. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Burgos I. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Estepona has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Almeria B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estepona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Almeria B will win today's game, with odds of 3.19.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Estepona - Puente Genil	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Melilla - Estepona	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Águilas - Estepona	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Almeria B - Melilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Puente Genil - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Almeria B - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	CD Extremadura - Almeria B	2:4 ✺
16.11.25	Almeria B - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.04.25	Almeria B - Estepona	1:2
30.11.24	Estepona - Almeria B	0:1

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