Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Vilafranquense		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	4.1	3.1	1.87
	4.3	2.85	1.94
	3.85	3.1	1.97
	4.29	3.22	2.04
	4	3	2.05
	4.05	3.15	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (4.05)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
22.8%

Draw
29.7%

Estoril Praia
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

29.1%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.5%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vilafranquense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilafranquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilafranquense - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga).

Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estoril is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.20	Mafra - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Chaves - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
24.10.20	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	2:2 ✺
18.10.20	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WTTTT
- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
29.11.20	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
14.11.20	Estoril Praia - Cova De Piedade	Estoril awarded ✺
08.11.20	Oliveirense - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Varzim - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
20.10.20	Estoril Praia - Feirense	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 T?WWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.20	Estoril Praia - Vilafranquense	2:0
22.09.19	Vilafranquense - Estoril Praia	1:4

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