The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril U23 24.3%
Draw 25.4%
Torreense U23 50.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
24.6%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
23.7%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Torreense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torreense U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril U23 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense U23 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreense U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estoril U23 - Torreense U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟥,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 3.
Estoril U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Torreense U23 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Estoril U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Torreense U23 is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Estoril U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).