The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Ave 32.7%
Draw 29.3%
Estrela da Amadora 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
28.4%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
28.9%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
55.6%
33.3%
Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Rio Ave (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Rio Ave (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. van der Gouw E. (G) 20. Tome J. 23. Petrasso F. (C) 3. Garcia S. 24. Amaral P. 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 80. Clemmensen S. 79. Patricio M. 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J.
24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Scholze M. 30. Luan Patrick 5. Lekovic S. (C) 55. Rafa Soares 78. Serra S. 39. Doue G. 99. Marcus A. 14. Zvonarek L. 10. Stoica I. 37. Antonetti L.
Substitutes
6. Abbey N. 60. Caike 30. Galcik R. 39. Gustavo Mancha 54. Liavas G. 19. Sellouki M. 21. Siler R. 77. Spikic D. 9. Tamble 32. Vitor Hugo (G) 17. Vrousai M. 70. Wenck A.
80. Alisson Souza 4. Bernardo Schappo 17. Encada J. 22. Grilo D. (G) 6. Jansson K. 19. Joan Jordan 3. Mincarelli L. 49. Mitongo R. 71. Pedro Vanga E. 51. Pinto D. (G) 8. Robinho 93. Souza B.
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.
Miguel P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Stoica I. ⚽, Antonetti L. (A),
26', Scholze M. 🟨,
44', Petrasso F. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Petrasso F. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Marcus A. ⚽, Scholze M. (A),
53', Clemmensen S. ↓, Galcik R. ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Galcik R. ⚽,
58', Doue G. 🟨,
62', 2 - 3, Marcus A. ⚽, Stoica I. (A),
63', Doue G. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
63', Patricio M. ↓, Tamble ↑,
68', Nikitscher T. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
68', Amaral P. ↓, Vrousai M. ↑,
68', Tome J. ↓, Abbey N. ↑,
71', Scholze M. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,
71', Serra S. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
76', Lekovic S. 🟨,
78', 3 - 3, Blesa J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Marcus A. ↓, Souza B. ↑,
84', Stoica I. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
90+1', Tamble 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 3.
Recent form of Rio Ave has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Estrela is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Back Injury)
Ryan Guilherme
(Injury)
There are questionable in Rio Ave: Abbey N.
(Inactive)
Nascimento D.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Brazil
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van der Gouw E. (G) 
Tome J. 
Petrasso F. (C) 
Garcia S. 
Nikitscher T. 
Ntoi A. 
Clemmensen S. 
Diogo Bezerra 
Blesa J. 
Scholze M. 
Lekovic S. (C) 
Doue G. 
Marcus A. 
Zvonarek L. 
Stoica I. 
Antonetti L. 
Abbey N. 
Galcik R. 
Sellouki M. 
Siler R. 
Tamble 
Wenck A. 
Jansson K. 
Mitongo R. 
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