Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Estrela da Amadora		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.20	2.50	Watch
	2.80	3.20	2.45
	3.05	3.15	2.38	Watch
	2.97	3.20	2.67
	2.88	3.14	2.59	Watch
	2.90	3.05	2.60
	3.00	3.18	2.61	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.12)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
32.7%

Draw
30%

Famalicão
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28.1%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estrela (2.05) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Scholze M. 30. Luan Patrick 5. Lekovic S. (C) 55. Rafa Soares 39. Doue G. 71. Pedro Vanga E. 99. Marcus A. 14. Zvonarek L. 10. Stoica I. 37. Antonetti L.	25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. (C) 4. van Breemen F. 3. Realpe L. 28. Pedro Bondo 14. De Amorim M. 8. Pena M. 18. Beney R. 19. Moreira P. 7. Sorriso 70. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
80. Alisson Souza 4. Bernardo Schappo 79. Chernev A. 17. Encada J. 22. Grilo D. (G) 19. Joan Jordan 3. Mincarelli L. 51. Pinto D. (G) 72. Poniewas H. 8. Robinho 78. Serra S. 93. Souza B.	9. Abubakar U. 11. Aranda O. 2. Garcia 23. Gil Dias 24. Jangeal M. 36. Mattara M. 5. Meyer L. 15. Rofino V. G. 33. Salas P. 10. Santos P. 21. Szucs T. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Miguel P.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽, De Amorim M. (A),
29', Scholze M. 🟨,
32', Pedro Vanga E. ↓, Robinho ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stoica I. ↓, Souza B. ↑,
53', Robinho 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Antonetti L. ⚽, Souza B. (A),
66', Pena M. 🟨,
68', Pena M. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
68', Beney R. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Scholze M. ⚽,
75', Sorriso ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
75', Pedro Bondo ↓, Meyer L. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Koutsias G. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Scholze M. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
82', Koutsias G. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
89', Robinho ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
89', Antonetti L. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
90', Meyer L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1.

Estrela is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Famalicão is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Estrela: Jansson K. (Inactive)

We predict that Estrela will win today's game, with odds of 2.92.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
30.08.26	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Alverca - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Estrela da Amadora - Al-Nassr Riyadh	4:2 ✺
23.07.26	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WTTWW
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
30.08.26	Famalicão - Gil Vicente	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Famalicão - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
Como Cup
31.07.26	Famalicão - Como	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	0:0
27.12.25	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	2:3
25.01.25	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	0:0
19.08.24	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	0:3
16.03.24	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	0:0
29.10.23	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	1:0

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