Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Torreense		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.12	3.3	3.2
	2.15	3.57	3.46
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.1	3.32	3.22
	2.14	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.52)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	3.26 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
43.7%

Draw
28.1%

Estrela da Amadora
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torreense's performance.

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela da Amadora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torreense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Torreense - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 6).

Torreense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estrela is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torreense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Belenenses - Torreense	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.22	Porto B - Torreense	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Torreense - Tondela	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Torreense - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT
- Estrela da Amadora
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Leixões	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Tondela - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Estrela da Amadora - Porto B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.05.21	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	0:0
02.05.21	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	0:3

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