Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Estrella Roja de Danlí		Real España

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.3	1.7
	4.63	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4)	3.45 (3.45)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella Roja de Danlí
20.7%

Draw
26.7%

Real España
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.8%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella Roja de Danlí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Real España have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella Roja de Danlí than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Estrella Roja de Danlí - Real España Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

Estrella Roja has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Real España shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Real España is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella Roja de Danlí
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.09.26	Choloma - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Platense	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	CD Marathón - Estrella Roja de Danlí	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Juticalpa	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLTW
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.09.26	Real España - Motagua	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Olancho - Real España	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real España - Choloma	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWT

Estrella Roja de Danlí - Real España: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide