The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrella Roja de Danlí 25.9%
Draw 26.8%
Real España 47.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22%
25.5%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
24.7%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrella Roja de Danlí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real España might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella Roja de Danlí than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real España could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrella Roja de Danlí - Real España Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Garcia J. (G) 30. Calix C. 7. Duarte E. (C) 10. Duron D. 23. Gomez E. 20. Gonzalez P. 19. Gutierrez J. 2. Juarez L. 4. Licona S. 15. Padilla J. 8. Velasquez J.
22. Lopez L. (G) 54. Arana M. 10. Benavidez J. (C) 5. Flores F. 7. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 25. Pereira M. 2. Ramos J.
Substitutes
25. Amador E. 17. Avila A. 24. Benitez R. 11. Bermudez S. . Garcia M. 9. Lopez F. 18. Luna N. 1. Moreira V. (G) 14. Munguia E. 3. Rizo E. 16. Rosales B. 13. Rosales O.
13. Aceituno M. 19. Aparicio D. 39. Cacho D. 12. Cruz N. 23. Lopez R. (G) 67. Moya M. 49. Reyes H. (G) . Ritacco G. 30. Sayago D. 55. Vega Ch. 18. Vuelto D. 35. Zavala D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Pereira M. 🟨,
7', 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽,
24', Duarte E. 🟨,
36', Garcia A. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Velasquez J. ↓, Luna N. ↑,
46', Duarte E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
56', Osorto R. 🟨,
64', Calix C. ↓, Bermudez S. ↑,
64', Arana M. ↓, Aceituno M. ↑,
65', Hernandez E. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
73', Gonzalez P. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
80', Duron D. 🟨,
81', Osorto R. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
81', Benavidez J. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
87', Cruz N. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
Estrella Roja has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real España is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Real España for this game.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.