Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Real España		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.50	6.25
	1.35	4.4	6.4
	1.35	4.41	6.26
	1.4	4.74	6.9	Watch
	1.32	4.3	6.1
	1.33	4.45	8
	1.36	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.62)	4.46 ↑ (3.5)	6.62 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real España
66.3%

Draw
20.1%

Lobos UPNFM
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos UPNFM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Real España - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lopez R. (G) 10. Benavidez J. (C) 39. Cacho D. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 25. Pereira M. 18. Vuelto D.	55. Lagos D. (G) 25. Banzzety J. 16. Carter D. 24. Elvir O. 15. Glavocic J. 20. Lopez E. 77. Mejia C. 8. Nunez J. (C) 6. Ponce J. 2. Suazo D. 5. Zuniga A.
Substitutes
17. Alvarado M. 12. Cruz N. 37. Guity P. 72. Gutierrez N. 2. Ramos J. 49. Reyes H. (G) 7. Ritacco G. 52. Rochez J. 38. Roland D. 64. Salazar V. 30. Sayago D. 35. Zavala D.	22. Ardon C. 1. Banegas G. (G) 23. Castrillo J. 11. Elvir S. 21. Erazo A. 10. Hinestroza Y. 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. 17. Rodas D. 13. Rodriguez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
31', Lopez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Nunez J. 🟨,
59', Mejia C. ↓, Juan M. ↑,
59', Ponce J. ↓, Erazo A. ↑,
59', Zuniga A. 🟨,
65', Vuelto D. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
75', Glavocic J. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
75', Carter D. ↓, Castrillo J. ↑,
75', Lopez B. ↓, Rodas Andrino G. J. ↑,
78', Hernandez E. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
79', Suazo D. 🟨,
86', Mejia C. 🟨,
90+2', Osorto R. ↓, Salazar V. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Liga Nacional (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.

Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real España is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Lobos UPNFM - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 20.48%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
30.08.26	Real España - Choloma	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Real España - Atlético Independiente	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Platense - Real España	0:3 ✺
18.05.26	Real España - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTWT
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.08.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
12.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	1:1
20.02.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	4:3
07.12.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	0:0
21.09.25	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
12.04.25	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:1
13.02.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	3:4
30.11.24	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	0:0

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