The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Choloma 33.7%
Draw 27.6%
Estrella Roja de Danlí 38.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
28.6%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
29%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Estrella Roja de Danlí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrella Roja de Danlí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella Roja de Danlí than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrella Roja de Danlí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Choloma - Estrella Roja de Danlí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 2. Alvarez K. 28. Barrios J. 4. Calderon A. 10. Canales J. 23. Castillo H. 27. Fajardo A. 29. Florez E. 14. Madrid C. 18. Quejada J. 13. Villatoro A.
1. Moreira V. (G) 30. Calix C. 7. Duarte E. 23. Gomez E. 19. Gutierrez J. 2. Juarez L. 18. Luna N. 6. Mayorquin R. 15. Padilla J. 3. Rizo E. 8. Velasquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Capeluto J. 🟨,
20', Mayorquin R. 🟨,
33', Alvarez K. ↓, Zamora O. ↑,
40', Rizo E. 🟨,
45+4', Mayorquin R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Velasquez J. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
46', Rizo E. ↓, Duron D. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Quejada J. ⚽,
58', Fajardo A. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
60', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
60', Luna N. ↓, Munguia E. ↑,
62', Florez E. 🟨,
74', Calix C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
75', Pineda J. 🟨,
80', Zamora O. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
84', Villatoro A. 🟨,
84', Padilla J. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Ferreira L. ⚽,
90+4', Juarez L. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 11th and 8th).
Recent results have been tough for Choloma (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Estrella Roja have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Honduras
Watch
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Pineda J. (G) 
Castillo H. 
Florez E. 
Quejada J. 
Luna N. 
Rizo E. 
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