Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
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Usa	Fanatiz
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World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	5.25	Watch
	1.95	2.92	4.85	Watch
	1.96	3.01	5.15
	1.88	3.03	5.24	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4.8
	1.92	2.9	4.98	Watch
	1.88	2.9	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)	2.92 ↓ (3.18)	5.09 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
49.3%

Draw
32.2%

Deportivo Riestra
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

29.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Deportivo Riestra (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Deportivo Riestra (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J. (C) 21. Piovi L. 25. Medina C. 9. Carrillo G. 17. Burgos J.	1. Arce I. (G) 5. Ramirez P. 15. Sansotre N. 22. Paz C. 6. Barbieri M. 13. Gallo R. 27. Goitia J. 14. Monje P. 7. Alonso A. 9. Herrera J. 8. Benegas N.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 32. Amondarain M. 22. Castro A. 11. Farias F. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 10. Palacios T. 35. Pierani V. 2. Rodriguez F.	36. Bracamonte M. 20. Garcia M. 21. Ingratti J. 30. Landriel L. 12. Lopez I. (G) 24. Mino F. 40. Obredor G. 23. Ramirez M. 19. Randazzo J. 28. Sayavedra R. 35. Stringa A. 16. Watson N.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Benitez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
45', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
45+5', Sansotre N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Burgos J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
46', Perez Fabricio ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
61', Gallo R. 🟨,
63', Benegas N. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
67', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
67', Sosa J. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
73', Gallo R. ↓, Mino F. ↑,
74', Goitia J. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
85', Barbieri M. ↓, Landriel L. ↑,
85', Medina C. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
86', Monje P. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
90', Herrera J. 🟨,
90+3', Landriel L. 🟨,

Preview

Estudiantes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Carrillo G. (Muscle Injury) Muslera F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nunez S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Tovo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo Riestra: Barbieri M. (Injury) Gallo R. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Ituzaingó	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
20.12.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTWW
- Deportivo Riestra
Copa Argentina
05.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.02.26	Barracas Central - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Deportivo Riestra - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	2:0

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