Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Fanatiz
Russia	Okko Sport
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.65	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.5
	2.52	2.72	3.3	Watch
	2.58	2.79	3.54
	2.49	2.77	3.46	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.25
	2.46	2.72	3.42	Watch
	2.5	2.66	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.44)	2.75 ↑ (2.72)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
38.4%

Draw
34.2%

Estudiantes La Plata
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

34.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estudiantes (2.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 50%). Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 16. Perez Curci M. 10. Cabral L. 7. Montiel S. 9. Avalos G. 19. Abaldo M.	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 4. Nunez S. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Gabriel Neves 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 25. Medina C. 11. Farias F. 9. Carrillo G. 29. Perez Fabricio
Substitutes
38. Barros L. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 13. Fedorco J. 6. Freire N. 40. Malcorra I. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 17. Mazzantti W. 8. Millan L. 25. Pussetto I. 27. Tarzia D. 3. Valenzuela M.	32. Amondarain M. 17. Burgos J. 22. Castro A. 18. Cetre E. 23. Dominguez F. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 35. Pierani V. 21. Piovi L. 2. Rodriguez F. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Benedetti G. 🟨,
39', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
44', Meza E. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Cabral L. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
45+2', Cabral L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Muslera F. ↓, Iacovich F. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio ⚽, Medina C. (A),
50', Montiel S. 🟥,
51', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
59', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
59', Perez Curci M. ↓, Malcorra I. ↑,
64', Farias F. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
68', Gabriel Neves ↓, Castro A. ↑,
68', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
71', Lomonaco K. ↓, Fedorco J. ↑,
71', Abaldo M. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
79', Perez Fabricio ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
81', Avalos G. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
85', Godoy L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Estudiantes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Independiente could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Independiente: Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Injury) Ruiz J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Independiente	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Independiente - Everton de Viña	5:3 ✺
10.01.26	Independiente - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.11.25	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
10.11.25	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Argentina
19.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Ituzaingó	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
20.12.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Central Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.08.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:2
Copa Argentina
09.09.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.04.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2
20.06.22	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.21	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.05.21	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:1 penalties

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