Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3	2.82	2.65	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.95
	3	2.68	2.78	Watch
	3.12	2.75	2.87
	3.02	2.76	2.78	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.7
	2.98	2.69	2.74	Watch
	3	2.71	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.38)	2.73 ↓ (2.92)	2.78 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
31.8%

Draw
34.4%

Boca Juniors
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

32.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Boca Juniors (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iacovich F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 4. Nunez S. 13. Benedetti G. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 25. Medina C. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G.	1. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 5. Paredes L. 30. Belmonte T. 22. Zenon K. 41. Zufiaurre I. 7. Zeballos E.
Substitutes
27. Alario L. 38. Basualdo F. 12. Borzone R. (G) 22. Castro A. 39. Cornejo L. 23. Dominguez F. 11. Farias F. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 40. Mancuso E. 35. Pierani V. 2. Rodriguez F.	36. Aranda T. 17. Blondel L. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 18. Delgado M. 4. Figal J. 16. Flores L. 37. Gelini G. 21. Herrera A. 19. Martegani A. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Weigandt M.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Ubeda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Nunez S. ⚽, Benedetti G. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Gonzalez Pirez L. ⚽, Burgos J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
54', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
54', Paredes L. 🟨,
71', Benedetti G. 🟨,
74', Belmonte T. ↓, Gelini G. ↑,
75', Burgos J. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Zeballos E. ⚽, Gelini G. (A),
82', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
82', Perez Fabricio ↓, Farias F. ↑,
87', Zenon K. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
90', Medina C. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 1.

Estudiantes has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boca Juniors is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Illness) Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Injury) Cavani E. (Back Injury) Gimenez M. (Thigh Injury) Miguel Merentiel (Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Muslera F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Ituzaingó	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
20.12.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.01.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Boca Juniors - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Boca Juniors - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.12.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0
26.08.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 penalties
12.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	0:0
Copa Argentina
22.11.23	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.10.23	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0

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