Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Bismark S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Oriente Petrolero		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	11	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8.75	5.25	1.32
	9.5	5.1	1.31
	9.83	5.15	1.32
	9	4.6	1.3
	9.2	5.15	1.32	Watch
	8.2	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.35 ↑ (6.25)	5 ↑ (4.4)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
10%

Draw
18.8%

Red Bull Bragantino
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

20.9%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

20.6%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Oriente Petrolero - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quinonez W. (G) 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 3. Soleto W. 4. Villalba D. 32. Paz A. 6. Rojas D. 8. Alvarez C. 19. Sanchez E. 25. Villagra L. 27. Alvarez S. 9. Roca F.	1. Cleiton (G) 34. Hurtado J. 2. Realpe L. 30. Luan Patrick 29. Juninho Capixaba 8. Lucas Evangelista 5. Jadsom Silva 28. Vitinho 11. Helinho 19. Eduardo Sasha 17. Bruninho
Substitutes
7. Arabe C. 28. Cabrera D. 24. Guzman S. 33. Menacho R. 31. Saavedra A. 21. Sanchez H. 16. Sandoval R. 22. Valdivia D. (G) 34. Vargas F. 35. Vargas J. 17. Zeballos L.	13. Aderlan 9. Alerrandro 18. Borbas T. 7. Eric Ramires 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 40. Lucao (G) 35. Matheus Fernandes 12. Maycon (G) 16. Mosquera H. 25. Praxedes 27. Sorriso
Coaches
Hoyos G.	Caixinha P.

Preview

Oriente Petrolero is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RB Bragantino is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Copa Pacena
17.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	2:2 ✺
10.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Tacuary - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Oriente Petrolero	5:0

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