Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Premiere, SporTV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fluminense		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.50	4.40
	1.85	3.35	4.25
	1.88	3.55	4.72
	1.76	3.68	4.79
	1.8	3.5	4.9
	1.86	3.59	4.68	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)	3.53 ↑ (3.44)	4.56 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
52%

Draw
27%

Red Bull Bragantino
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

27.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.9%	15.6%	12.5%

Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 44. Jemmes 29. Millan J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 11. Savarino J. 32. Acosta L. 90. Serna K. 7. Hulk	18. Tiago Volpi (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 4. Alix Vinicius (C) 16. Gustavo Marques 51. Caue Nascimento 7. Eric Ramires 20. Rodriguinho 32. Herrera J. 11. Fernando Santos 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha
Substitutes
17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G. 19. Castillo R. 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 4. Ignacio 9. John Kennedy 46. Julio Fidelis 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 16. Nonato 94. Otavio 30. Soteldo Y.	1. Cleiton (G) 3. Eduardo Santos 5. Fabinho 22. Gustavo Neves 34. Hurtado A. 57. Marcelinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 15. Sosa I. 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
33', Millan J. ↓, Freytes J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jemmes ↓, Ignacio ↑,
58', Serna K. ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
58', Savarino J. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
58', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
64', Sant'Anna A. 🟥,
64', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
67', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
68', Herrera J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
79', Hercules ↓, Cano G. ↑,
85', Fernando Santos ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
85', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
90', Tiago Volpi 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguinho ↓, Fabinho ↑,
90+4', John Kennedy 🟥,
90+4', Fabinho 🟥,
90+5', Ignacio 🟨,
90+5', Mosquera H. 🟨,
90+5', Freytes J. 🟨,
90+14', 1 - 1, Ignacio ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.

Fluminense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RB Bragantino is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Matheus Reis (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Hamstring Injury) Fabinho (Groin Injury) Fabricio (Ankle Injury) Matheus Fernandes (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
11	Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.45%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Fluminense - Deportivo La Guaira	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Mirassol - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	River Plate - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	4:2
06.04.25	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
28.07.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	0:1
13.04.24	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2
22.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	1:0
04.06.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
13.11.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	0:1

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