The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras 67.4%
Draw 19.9%
Red Bull Bragantino 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.2%
21%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.3%
20.1%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Palmeiras (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(27 of 30 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palmeiras will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 15 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 4. Giay A. 26. Murilo 13. Micael 22. Piquerez J. 3. Bruno Fuchs 8. Pereira A. 23. Raphael Veiga (C) 7. Felipe Anderson 18. Mauricio 9. Vitor Roque
40. Lucao (G) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 12. Vanderlan 6. Gabriel (C) 29. Juninho Capixaba 7. Eric Ramires 10. Jhon Jhon 21. Lucas Barbosa 18. Borbas T.
Substitutes
40. Allan 43. Benedetti 11. Bruno Rodrigues 1. Carlos Miguel (G) 52. Gilberto Junior 6. Jefte 42. Lopez J. 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 5. Moreno A. 19. Sosa R. 17. Torres F.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Palmeiras: Khellven
(Foot Injury)
Lopez J.
(International duty)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno A.
(International duty)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Torres F.
(International duty)
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Eduardo Sasha
(Injury)
Nathan Mendes
(Yellow Cards)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.