What is the expert prediction for Estudiantes La Plata vs Universidad Católica?

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Estudiantes La Plata vs Universidad Católica Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, August 11, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN


	Estudiantes La Plata		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.71	3.25	5.50
	1.72	3.15	5.4	Watch
	1.76	3.39	5.79
	1.75	3.39	5.57
	1.72	3.3	5.7	Watch
	1.7	3.34	6.12	Watch
	1.78	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)	3.32 ↓ (3.77)	5.68 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
54.8%

Draw
28.5%

Universidad Católica
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 4. Nunez S. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 22. Castro A. 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 10. Palacios T. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	1. Bernedo V. (G) 28. Cerezo B. 2. Gonzalez D. 19. Ampuero B. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 7. Giani J. 8. Zuqui F. 15. Cuevas C. 14. Martinez J. A. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 18. Cetre E. 32. Correa J. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 35. Pierani V. 31. Rodriguez B. 7. Sosa J.	13. Canales A. 25. Corral D. 34. Daza F. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 39. L’Huillier N. 17. Medel G. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 43. Perez A. 42. Pino N. 12. Valdes F. (G)
Coaches
Medina A.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Burgos J. ⚽,
9', Zampedri F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Perez Fabricio ↓, Correa J. ↑,
64', Mena E. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
67', Palacios T. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
67', Castro A. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
74', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
78', Cuevas C. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
85', Burgos J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
85', Cerezo B. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
85', Valencia J. ↓, Medel G. ↑,
90', Palacios T. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estudiantes is the team to beat.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Carrillo G. (Inactive) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Uni Católica: Asta-Buruaga T. (Knee Injury) Sekgota J. (Inactive) Valencia D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

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Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Estudiantes L.P.: 5.29% U. Catolica: 1.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
07.08.26	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.07.26	San Luis de Quillota - Universidad Católica	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Universidad Católica - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLTLW

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