Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, TNT Sports
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Estudiantes La Plata		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.85	4.00	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.70
	2.10	3.00	4.00	Watch
	2.22	3.00	4.15
	2.23	3.04	3.64	Watch
	2.17	2.90	4.10
	2.15	2.98	3.97	Watch
	2.12	2.95	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)	2.96 ↓ (2.96)	3.92 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
43.9%

Draw
32%

Independiente
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31.6%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 4. Nunez S. 26. Funes Mori R. 24. Palacios T. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 22. Castro A. 17. Burgos J. 10. Palacios T. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	33. Rey R. (G) 29. Godoy L. 13. Fedorco J. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 16. Perez Curci M. 23. Marcone I. (C) 28. Gutierrez M. 7. Montiel S. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 29. Perez Fabricio 35. Pierani V. 7. Sosa J.	4. Arias S. 35. Arrayago J. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 20. Cruz F. 3. De Irastorza J. 26. Lomonaco K. 32. Martinez D. 8. Meza M. 14. Millan L. 34. Tempone F. 18. Valdez F.
Coaches
Medina A.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Palacios T. 🟨,
45+1', Godoy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Abaldo M. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
72', Castro A. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
72', Burgos J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Avalos G. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
81', Carrillo G. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 0 - 2, Montiel S. ⚽,
84', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
84', Gutierrez M. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
85', Funes Mori R. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
85', Palacios T. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
86', Piovi L. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
89', Avalos G. ↓, Lomonaco K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.

Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente: Pussetto I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Perez Fabricio (Injury)

There are questionable in Independiente: Martinez D. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.84%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Argentina
31.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLT
- CA Independiente
Copa Argentina
22.05.26	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.26	Rosario Central - Independiente	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	San Lorenzo - Independiente	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Independiente - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
11.08.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:2
Copa Argentina
09.09.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.04.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2
20.06.22	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.21	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:1

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