The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes La Plata 31.6%
Draw 33.6%
Rosario Central 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
32.3%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
32.3%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 21. Piovi L. 8. Gabriel Neves 31. Rodriguez B. 22. Castro A. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. (C)
1. Werner A. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 31. Navarro F. 5. Ibarra F. 27. Duarte G. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 18. Cetre E. 39. Elias J. 26. Funes Mori R. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 52. Kociubinski B. 20. Meza E. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.
16. Badaloni T. 10. Cervi F. 18. Fernandez J. 24. Gimenez J. 6. Komar J. 23. Ledesma C. (G) 15. Mallo Blanco F. 9. Ruben M. 19. Segovia S. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E. 2. Zaracho S.
Coaches
Medina A.
Almiron J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Castro A. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
12', Gabriel Neves ↓, Elias J. ↑,
17', Elias J. 🟨,
20', Elias J. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
23', 1 - 1, Di Maria A. ⚽,
37', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
45+12', 1 - 2, Di Maria A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+13', Palacios T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Duarte G. ↓, Veron E. ↑,
46', Mancuso E. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
46', Rodriguez B. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
55', Nunez S. 🟨,
62', Veron E. 🟨,
66', Carrillo G. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
66', Veron E. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
73', Avila G. 🟨,
74', Sandez A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
80', Di Maria A. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
80', Cantizano G. ↓, Cervi F. ↑,
82', Piovi L. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 3, Fernandez J. ⚽, Coronel E. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Rosario could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:18 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estudiantes against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).
Argentina
Chile
Ecuador
Mexico
Peru
South-america
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Muslera F. (G) 
Mancuso E. 
Sandez A. 
Cetre E. 
Elias J. 
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