Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.34	3.06	3.44
	2.25	2.88	3.2
	2.36	2.97	3.36
	2.2	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.56)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)	3.29 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
40.8%

Draw
30.8%

Atlético de Rafaela
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.3%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

31.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vega M. (G) 14. Lopez D. 2. Bottino G. 6. Zarate N. 3. Fernandez N. 10. Acosta E. 5. Lugo M. 8. Brinone S. 7. Parisi L. J. . Garnerone M. 9. Bolzicco T.	1. Peano M. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Fontanini F. 6. Bravo A. 3. Risso G. 8. Soloa F. 5. Fissore M. 10. Luna A. 11. Lamendola N. 7. Lago I. 9. Bieler C.
Substitutes
12. Amade L. (G) 11. Blanco T. 15. Ferreyra M. 16. Gaitan T. 18. Gimenez G. 13. Lorenzon F. . Lusnig L. . Mayorga S. 19. Vera I.	20. Albertengo G. 17. Arevalos N. 12. Bergia M. (G) 18. Biolatto L. 16. Bravo I. 19. Funez N. 13. Osores M. 14. Telechea G. N. 15. Torres F.
Coaches
Otta W.	Medran E.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Rafaela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.23	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTTWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.08.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
08.07.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1
12.08.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2

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