Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.1	6.25
	1.68	3.10	5.75
	1.65	3.05	6.1	Watch
	1.79	3.04	6.68
	1.7	3.17	6.25	Watch
	1.76	2.85	6.6
	1.73	3.06	6.16
	1.66	3.05	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	6.22 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
54.5%

Draw
30.5%

Ciudad de Bolívar
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

29.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

28.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Ciudad de Bolívar aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 11. Acosta E. 9. Acosta M. 4. Albarracin M. 7. Ardiles F. 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 10. Correa J. 5. Melo R. 3. Quinteros F. 8. Sena F.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 10. Gonzalez A. 5. Guiacobini T. 11. Gutierrez M. 6. Martinez E. 7. Mucignat F. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 3. Peralta F. 9. Sanchez G. 8. Yeri N.
Substitutes
20. Almiron E. 13. Bernardi B. 19. Camacho S. 18. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 15. Nunez T. 16. Silva L. 12. Vila F. (G)	18. Caraballo K. 14. Carrion A. 17. Diaz A. 13. Fernandez T. 16. Gridel M. 20. Ilarregui F. 19. Maciel J. 15. Quintana B. 12. Ruiz L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', Paredes A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Quinteros F. ⚽, Ardiles F. (A),
36', Navarro E. 🟨,
37', Yeri N. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Mucignat F. ⚽, Sanchez G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Correa J. 🟨,
56', Albarracin M. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
62', Melo R. 🟨,
66', Correa J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
66', Acosta M. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
66', Melo R. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
71', Gonzalez A. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
77', Acosta E. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
80', Mucignat F. ↓, Caraballo K. ↑,
80', Sanchez G. ↓, Ilarregui F. ↑,
85', Peralta F. 🟨,
89', Gutierrez M. ↓, Gridel M. ↑,
89', Guiacobini T. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

CA Estudiantes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ciudad de Bolívar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ciudad de Bolívar has had a series of home games.

In this match, CA Estudiantes is a strong favorite.

We predict that CA Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.26	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Mitre	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - All Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTWW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - All Boys	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Los Andes - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Godoy Cruz	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.06.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2

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