Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Carranza E. (Per)


	Guillermo Brown		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.8	3.25
	2.3	2.95	3
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.4	2.98	3.43
	2.4	2.98	3.43
	2.38	2.9	3.1
	2.33	2.99	3.18
	2.37	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.11)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.29 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
40%

Draw
31.7%

San Miguel
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

31%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Guillermo Brown - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 2 - 40%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Torres F. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Riquelme R. D. 3. Gorgerino C. 7. Machado C. 5. Marin F. 8. Funes F. 10. Luayza M. 9. Galeano M. 11. Fernandez M. (C)	1. Pucheta J. (C) 4. Manenti F. 2. D. Renteria 6. Cardozo F. 3. Grance P. 7. Antunes I. 5. Cravero T. 8. Battigelli A. 11. Sosa D. 9. Risso B. 10. Lujan N.
Substitutes
13. Carrera S. 15. Chiavetto A. 19. Jara M. 20. Lencina K. 16. Perez R. 18. Silva A. 12. Soria M. (G) 14. Velasquez S. 17. Werro V.	20. Batallini M. 15. Benitez M. 12. Gonzalez A. (G) 13. Kippes A. 16. Melillo E. 19. Melivilo F. 17. Muller D. 14. Real F. 18. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Lemos L.	Coleoni G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Pucheta J. 🟨,
16', Giovini S. ↓, Soria M. ↑,
33', Antunes I. ⚽,
34', Manenti F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
63', Funes F. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
63', Luayza M. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
65', Sosa D. ↓, Batallini M. ↑,
65', Risso B. ↓, Melivilo F. ↑,
70', Battigelli A. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
73', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
74', Machado C. 🟨,
76', Gorgerino C. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
78', Torres F. ↓, Jara M. ↑,
80', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
82', Galeano M. ⚽,
83', Cravero T. 🟨,
87', Cravero T. ↓, Muller D. ↑,
87', Manenti F. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
88', Silva A. 🟨,
90+4', Velasquez S. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guillermo Brown will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLWL
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.24	San Miguel - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Chacarita Juniors - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	San Miguel - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWTT

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