Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (San Miguel de Tucumán)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.75
	1.9	3	4.2
	2	3.1	4	Watch
	2.02	3.06	4.98
	1.93	3.06	4.98
	1.95	2.9	4.33
	1.91	3.05	4.42	Watch
	1.95	3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.81)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	4.5 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
48.1%

Draw
31%

Estudiantes de Caseros
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-1%)

San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (C) 4. Bettini G. 2. Orellana J. 6. Dattola A. 11. Mastrangelo D. 3. Banegas N. 5. Abregu G. 10. Cuevas J. 8. Hernandez P. 7. Fedele L. 9. Klusener G.	1. Budino M. (G) 4. Del Col M. 2. Perales V. 6. Benitez J. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Contreras E. 5. Lugo M. 11. Valdivia M. 10. Acosta E. 7. Luna E. 9. Fagundez F.
Substitutes
14. Bordon A. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 13. Ferracutti G. 15. Garcia M. 18. Ibanez J. 17. Molinas I. A. 16. Monje L. 19. Rodriguez G. 20. Rodriguez G.	12. Amade L. (G) 17. Bacas T. 19. Beron J. 20. Gorla F. J. 13. Ledesma D. 15. Miranda F. 16. Robles E. 14. Valenzuela I. 18. Vallejos I.
Coaches
Flores D.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Cuevas J. ⚽,
35', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Klusener G. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
54', Valdivia M. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
69', Fagundez F. ↓, Gorla F. J. ↑,
69', Luna E. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
71', Fedele L. ↓, Molinas I. A. ↑,
71', Mastrangelo D. ↓, Ferracutti G. ↑,
78', Lugo M. ↓, Vallejos I. ↑,
84', Cuevas J. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
84', Hernandez P. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
90+2', Moreno N. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CA Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Martín de Tucumán won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Tucumán won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.03.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Martín de Tucumán	1:3 ✺
04.03.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
26.02.24	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLW
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	San Miguel - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.07.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
01.08.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0
20.03.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1

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