Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday

Location: Mbombela Stadium (Mbombela)

Referee: Akech Malong R. (Ssu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mozambique	TVM 1
Portugal	Sport TV4


	Eswatini		Mozambique

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	2.9	1.87
	4.33	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.13	3.08	1.95
	4.19	3.23	1.94	Watch
	4.48	3.13	1.92	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (5.75)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	1.93 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eswatini
21.8%

Draw
30.1%

Mozambique
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

26.6%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eswatini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eswatini's performance.

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mozambique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Eswatini - Mozambique Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Eswatini will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Mozambique will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mozambique: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gama X. (G) 15. Sibandze S. Young Buffaloes 19. Mkhonta L. (C) ZESCO 6. Silenge S. 3. Thwala K. Mbabane Swall. 12. Mkhontfo M. 11. Magagula A. Royal Leopards 13. Matsenjwa S. Young Buffaloes 4. Dlamini N. S. Nsingizini Hotspurs 10. Figuareido J. Richards Bay 8. Mavuso T.	1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 2. Nanani UD Songo 3. Fernando U. Madeira 17. Mandava R. Atl. Madrid 5. Langa B. Almeria 16. Amade A. Septemvri Sofia 4. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 7. Domingues (C) UD Songo 10. Bauque C. 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig
Substitutes
14. Gamedze S. Young Buffaloes 7. Gwebu M. Manzini Sea Birds 17. Gwebu S. 1. Makhanya M. L. (G) Royal Leopards 2. Mamba F. 22. Masangane S. 5. Matsebula B. Young Buffaloes 21. Matse S. Royal Leopards 18. Ngwenya S. Young Buffaloes 9. Thwala N. Green Mamba	19. Abudo Zacarias A. Costa do Sol 6. Amadu UD Songo 21. Bonde J. Ferroviario Beira 12. Fazito (G) Ferroviario Nampula 18. Gildo Academica 9. Macamo E. Desportivo de Nacala 14. Macandza D. Costa do Sol 15. Martinho Associacao Black Bulls 11. Muiomo J. Wiltz 8. Pepo Caldas SC 23. Shaquille Sagrada 22. Urrubal I. (G)
Coaches
Logarusic Z.	Francisco Q. C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Domingues ⚽, Langa B. (A),
38', Mkhontfo M. ↓, Matse S. ↑,
38', Mavuso T. ↓, Matsebula B. ↑,
41', 0 - 2, Ratifo S. ⚽, Langa B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sibandze S. ↓, Mamba F. ↑,
46', Matsenjwa S. ↓, Gamedze S. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Catamo G. ⚽, Ratifo S. (A),
66', Matse S. 🟨,
66', Bauque C. ↓, Gildo ↑,
67', Domingues ↓, Pepo ↑,
69', Magagula A. ↓, Gwebu M. ↑,
75', Catamo G. ↓, Muiomo J. ↑,
75', Ratifo S. ↓, Macamo E. ↑,
79', Amade A. ↓, Shaquille ↑,
86', Pepo 🟨,

Preview

In this match Mozambique is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eswatini won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eswatini
Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Eswatini - Mali	0:1 ✺
05.09.24	Guinea Bissau - Eswatini	1:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
02.07.24	South Africa - Eswatini	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLLT
- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Mozambique - Guinea Bissau	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Mali - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
COSAFA Cup
07.07.24	Comoros - Mozambique	2:3 penalties ✺
05.07.24	Mozambique - Namibia	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	1:1
COSAFA Cup
29.06.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:0
Friendly
24.05.22	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:1
COSAFA Cup
18.07.21	Eswatini - Mozambique	2:1 penalties

Eswatini - Mozambique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide