Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday


	Ethio Electric		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.73	2.99	1.96
	3.74	3.18	1.98
	3.55	3.2	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.34)	3.13 ↓ (3.34)	1.96 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
24.9%

Draw
28.8%

Defence Force
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

27%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

26.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defence Force might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defence Force could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Ethio Electric - Defence Force Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ethio Electric will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Defence Force will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Ethio Electric has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Defence Force is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defence Force could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defence Force will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.05.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
09.05.23	Ethio Electric - Dire Dawa City	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
27.04.23	Ethio Electric - Wolkite Kenema	2:2 ✺
21.04.23	Adama City - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.05.23	Sidama Coffee - Defence Force	1:0 ✺
11.05.23	Defence Force - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Defence Force - Dire Dawa City	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	1:0 ✺
20.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
28.11.22	Defence Force - Ethio Electric	1:1

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