Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	Ethio Electric		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.65	2.55
	3.15	2.70	2.35
	3.11	2.67	2.71
	2.91	2.66	2.72	Watch
	2.83	2.65	2.62	Watch
	2.85	2.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)	2.58 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
30.8%

Draw
34.1%

Hawassa City
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

31.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

31.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Ethio Electric - Hawassa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Hussien H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Kebede G. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hawassa City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethio Electric won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Ethio Electric	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethio Electric - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.01%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Hawassa City - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethio Electric	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Ethio Electric - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Ethio Electric - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLTL
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.06.26	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
30.01.26	Hawassa City - Ethio Electric	2:0
09.04.25	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:1
01.11.24	Hawassa City - Ethio Electric	1:2
09.06.23	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:2
14.12.22	Hawassa City - Ethio Electric	1:0

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