Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Ethio Electric

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.58	2.45
	3.28	2.61	2.48
	3.37	2.49	2.57	Watch
	3.2	2.45	2.45
	3.29	2.57	2.45	Watch
	3.35	2.42	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	2.52 ↑ (2.42)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
27.6%

Draw
36%

Ethio Electric
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

37.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

37.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Ethio Electric Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).

Welwalo Adigrat is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ethio Electric has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ethio Electric	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethio Electric - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.26%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:4 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TLWWW
- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.05.26	Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
05.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Ethio Electric - Mechal	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0
18.05.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethio Electric	0:0
30.01.25	Ethio Electric - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1

Upcoming Matches