Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ethio Electric		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.50	2.45
	3.30	2.40	2.50
	3.60	2.34	2.63
	3.56	2.35	2.63	Watch
	3.26	2.63	2.63	Watch
	3.25	2.47	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.87)	2.45 ↓ (2.56)	2.55 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
27.1%

Draw
37.2%

Sheger Ketema
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

35.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Amankwah C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ethio Electric has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ethio Electric against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ethio Electric	4	2	1	1	2:1	1	7
7	Sheger Ketema	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Last Results with these Odds

Ethio Electric - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
16.10.26	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	Ethio Electric - Adama City	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethio Electric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWTW
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
16.10.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:0
18.10.25	Ethio Electric - Sheger Ketema	1:0

Ethio Electric - Sheger Ketema