Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Mekelle 70 Enderta		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.70	2.85
	2.55	2.75	2.85
	2.56	2.59	2.88
	2.67	2.71	2.91	Watch
	2.61	2.68	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	2.86 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mekelle 70 Enderta
34.9%

Draw
33.5%

Negele Arsi Ketema
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.2%

32.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

32.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mekelle 70 Enderta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mekelle 70 Enderta's performance.

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Negele Arsi Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mekelle 70 Enderta than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mekelle 70 Enderta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Negele Arsi Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Amha M. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Brhane Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Kasa F. ⚽,
90+6', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mekelle 70 Enderta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mekelle 70 Enderta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Negele Arsi Ketema	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Ethiopian Premier League
26.06.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Mekelle 70 Enderta	3:0 ✺
21.06.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Adama City	0:0 ✺
16.06.26	Ethio Electric - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
25.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTL
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
26.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Sidama Coffee - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0

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