Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Welayta Dicha

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.45	2.75
	2.88	2.48	2.78
	3.09	2.46	2.82
	2.99	2.53	2.8	Watch
	2.9	2.4	2.7
	2.99	2.45	2.7
	3.14	2.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.37)	2.46 ↓ (2.81)	2.76 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
30.4%

Draw
36.8%

Welayta Dicha
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.8%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.

Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Shumbeza E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Bogale M. 🟥,
80', Abubakar A. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Welayta Dicha	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Ethiopia Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
01.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLTW
- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
31.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Adama City	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
11.05.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	1:0
22.10.24	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1
11.05.24	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2
03.11.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	2:2
06.03.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	0:0
02.10.22	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
18.04.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	1:0

Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide