Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.78	2.68
	2.65	3.07	2.62
	2.61	2.91	2.77	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.63
	2.86	2.7	2.86	Watch
	2.54	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.05)	2.85 ↓ (3.05)	2.72 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
34.6%

Draw
31.9%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopia Nigd Bank's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ethiopia Nigd Bank will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ethiopia Nigd Bank (2.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopia Nigd Bank (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, Tamirat T. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ethiopia Bunna could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ethiopia Bunna	38	13	12	13	40:39	1	51
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	0	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
22.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:3 ✺
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLW
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
21.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:3 ✺
16.01.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.06.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2
03.05.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2
16.12.23	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1
16.06.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopia Bunna	2:0
30.01.17	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	5:2

Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide