Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	Sheger Ketema		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	3	2.72	2.42
	3.11	2.77	2.44
	3.11	2.77	2.48	Watch
	3	2.5	2.4
	3.16	2.72	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.48)	2.7 ↓ (3.06)	2.43 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
29.3%

Draw
33.5%

Negele Arsi Ketema
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Negele Arsi Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Negele Arsi Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sheger Ketema - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Bizuneh K. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Negele Arsi Ketema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sheger Ketema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
08.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWWT
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
09.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
02.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sheger Ketema	2:2

Sheger Ketema - Negele Arsi Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide