Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Hawassa City		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.48	2.82
	3.09	2.45	3.07
	3.26	2.11	3.26	Watch
	2.75	2.45	2.8
	2.83	2.75	2.83	Watch
	2.35	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.35)	2.51 ↓ (2.8)	2.96 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
32.3%

Draw
36.7%

Sheger Ketema
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

32%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

33%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-2%)

Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Tadele B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 1, Isaac Gebreyes ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hawassa City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Hawassa City - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLT
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
29.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Hawassa City	1:2

Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide