Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Saint George

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.45	2.72
	3.73	2.14	2.86
	3.35	2.36	2.74	Watch
	3	2.45	2.45
	3.06	2.63	2.77
	2.75	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)	2.68 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
29%

Draw
36.9%

Saint George
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

32.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

31.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Saint George (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint George (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Mulugeta B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Mulugeta B. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Belachew B. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1.

Ethiopian Medhin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Saint George has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saint George may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	St. George	38	14	12	12	33:31	2	54
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	-1	46

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.67%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
21.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLT
- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
05.02.26	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Saint George - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Mechal - Saint George	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0
03.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	0:0
26.10.24	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0
10.05.24	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1
02.11.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	0:3
07.03.23	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1

Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide