Match Info

BELGIUM: Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen) 🌤️ ...


	Eupen		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.36
	6.75	4.8	1.33
	8	5.5	1.36	Watch
	7.14	5.09	1.34
	7.41	4.86	1.38	Watch
	7.5	5	1.3
	7.35	5.15	1.36	Watch
	8	5.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (6.75)	5.08 ↑ (4.5)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
12.6%

Draw
18.3%

Saint-Gilloise
69.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.5%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.7%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Eupen - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Union SG will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen A. (G) 29. Alloh T. 6. Baiye B. (C) 56. Dalla Costa L. 14. Deom J. 38. di Matteo R. 90. Gedikli E. 30. Gorenc J. 28. Paeshuyse R. 19. Pantovic M. 2. Van Genechten Y.	49. Moris A. (G) 10. Ait El Hadj A. 16. Burgess C. 12. David P. 19. Francois G. 48. Leysen F. 22. Niang O. 13. Rodriguez K. 27. Sadiki N. 26. Sykes R. 6. Van De Perre K.
Substitutes
61. Caliskan B. 10. Charles-Cook R. 18. Keita A. 4. Kennedy S. 20. Pattynama S. 44. Renner J. (G) 34. Youndje K.	8. Amani L. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 25. Khalaili A. . Lapoussin L. 28. Machida K. . Makate Bokoya C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', 🟨,
25', Francois G. ↓, Khalaili A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, David P. ⚽,
60', Niang O. ↓, Lapoussin L. ↑,
60', Rodriguez K. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, David P. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
83', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 0.

Recent matches Eupen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Union SG is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eupen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union SG is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.10.24	Eupen - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Lommel - Eupen	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Seraing - Eupen	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Eupen - Genk U23	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lierse - Eupen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWL
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Midtjylland - Saint-Gilloise	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Bodø Glimt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.12.23	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
20.10.23	Saint-Gilloise - Eupen	4:1
05.03.23	Saint-Gilloise - Eupen	2:1
18.09.22	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
26.02.22	Saint-Gilloise - Eupen	0:0
23.10.21	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	2:3
Club Friendly
18.07.20	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	0:2

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