Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Midtjylland		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.28	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.29	3.6	3.16
	2.26	3.58	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.29	3.75	3.21
	2.3	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)	3.12 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
42.3%

Draw
27%

Saint-Gilloise
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	19%	14.3%

Midtjylland - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Union SG will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Olafsson E. R. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 4. Diao O. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 6. Andersson J. 11. Osorio D. 24. Sorensen O. 5. Martinez E. 58. Simsir A. 18. Buksa A. 25. Kuchta J.	49. Moris A. (C) 25. Khalaili A. 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 27. Sadiki N. 24. Vanhoutte C. 4. Rasmussen M. 77. Fuseini M. 13. Rodriguez K. 22. Niang O.
Substitutes
17. Askildsen K. 55. Bak V. 19. Bravo P. 20. Byskov V. 7. Franculino 13. Gabriel A. 41. Gogorza M. 73. Juninho 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 31. Selin L. (G) 15. Sorensen C.	10. Ait El Hadj A. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 9. Ivanovic F. 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 26. Sykes R. 6. Van De Perre K.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Diao O. ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
23', Khalaili A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Niang O. 🟨,
63', Kuchta J. ↓, Franculino ↑,
63', Sorensen O. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
64', Sadiki N. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
64', Rodriguez K. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
71', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
83', Martinez E. ↓, Askildsen K. ↑,
83', Mbabu K. ↓, Bak V. ↑,
85', Fuseini M. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
85', Niang O. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
85', Rasmussen M. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
87', Gogorza M. 🟨,
89', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
90+2', Ivanovic F. 🟨,
90+4', Burgess C. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Midtjylland will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Midtjylland: Cho Gue-Sung (Knee Injury) Marrony (Knee Injury) Olsson K. (Health problems) Paulinho (Surgery)

There will not play in Union SG: Kabangu E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Midtjylland: Sorensen O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Knock) Ivanovic F. (Knock) Teklab H. (Foot Injury) Traore M. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
20.10.24	SønderjyskE - Midtjylland	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Brøndby - Midtjylland	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
29.09.24	Midtjylland - Viborg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Midtjylland - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Bodø Glimt	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Saint-Gilloise - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Saint-Gilloise	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTWL

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