The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Everton de Viña 55.7%
Draw 24.8%
Cobresal 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
26.4%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
22.8%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton de Viña's performance.
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton de Viña that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobresal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Everton de Viña - Cobresal Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Cobresal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 37. Vidal V. 5. Gonzalez R. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 14. Baeza N. 9. Alfaro J. 21. Berrios B. 7. Moya J. 29. Martinez B. 10. Medina A. 30. Palacios C.
30. Pinos J. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 18. Moreno C. 4. Sandoval R. 22. Astudillo A. 13. Valenzuela B. 11. Brea J. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 24. Ramirez B. 8. Pino S.
Substitutes
17. Barrera C. 15. Fernandez V. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 22. Londono S. 40. Montiel N. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 35. Soto L. 19. Vega V. 20. Villagran
15. Castillo A. 32. Frias F. 17. Fuentes J. 28. Moreno B. 29. Ramis O. 27. Roki M. 12. Santander A. (G) 6. Valencia E. 3. Villarroel B.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.
Huerta G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Pino S. ⚽, Valenzuela B. (A),
14', Alfaro J. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Baeza N. ⚽,
23', Valenzuela B. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽, Martinez B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pacheco G. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
55', Sandoval R. 🟨,
56', Astudillo A. 🟨,
64', Alfaro J. ↓, Soto L. ↑,
64', Valenzuela B. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
72', Martinez B. ↓, Ramos Aviles E. M. ↑,
72', Palacios C. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
73', Baeza N. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Medina A. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Carvallo U. B. A. 🟨,
83', Carvallo U. B. A. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
87', Medina A. ↓, Barrera C. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.
Everton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cobresal is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Everton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Everton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Everton is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Everton won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.6:2).
Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now
Everton: 0.05%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Everton
23
10
6
7
37:25
12
36
14
Cobresal
24
7
4
13
35:45
-10
25
Last Results with these Odds
Cobresal - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.61%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.