Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 23

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Cobreloa		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.62	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.61
	5.5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	5.41	3.9	1.62
	5.19	3.67	1.67	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.55
	5.31	3.8	1.63	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (4.63)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
17.3%

Draw
24.9%

Colo-Colo
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.4%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.1%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Cobreloa - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 6. Palma N. 5. Gonzalez R. 4. Tapia B. 2. Espejo J. 24. Garcia L. 11. Leiva J. 10. Borgnino M. 7. Insaurralde C. 23. Javier Parraguez 33. Fernandez P.	1. Cortes B. (G) 16. Opazo Lara O. 15. Amor E. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 8. Pavez E. 34. Pizarro V. 5. Gil L. 7. Carlos Palacios 29. Paiva G. 9. Correa J.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 42. Brasil M. 17. Bravo C. 41. Donadell N. 39. Ogaz B. 14. Orrego N. 37. Valdes B.	19. Castellani G. 32. Cepeda L. 30. De Paul F. (G) 33. Gonzalez R. 3. Gutierrez D. 45. Hernandez L. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Giovagnoli D.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Falcon M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Gil L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez P. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
46', Hernandez L. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
46', Opazo Lara O. 🟨,
58', Valdes B. 🟨,
59', Di Maio L. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
71', Borgnino M. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
74', Gil L. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
74', Carlos Palacios ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
85', Correa J. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
85', Falcon M. ↓, Amor E. ↑,
85', Correa J. 🟨,
88', Palma N. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1.

Recent matches Cobreloa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colo-Colo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cobreloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Colo-Colo is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
27.08.24	Cobreloa - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
17.08.24	Unión Española - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Cobreloa - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Cobresal - Cobreloa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
29.08.24	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.08.24	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.24	Colo-Colo - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
15.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	0:2
Chilean Cup
04.10.23	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	1:0
27.09.23	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	2:2
26.10.16	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	3:1
20.10.16	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	1:2
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.15	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:4
30.11.14	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	4:1

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