Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 21

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Universidad de Chile		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	11	Watch
	1.23	6.25	11.5
	1.25	6	11	Watch
	1.27	5.98	10.68
	1.27	5.62	10.08	Watch
	1.18	6	12
	1.25	6.26	10	Watch
	1.25	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)	6.01 ↑ (4.85)	10.91 ↑ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
75.7%

Draw
15.7%

Cobreloa
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.3%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

18.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Chile's performance.

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Chile that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad de Chile will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 14. Morales M. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 21. Diaz M. (C) 29. Aranguiz C. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 11. Guerra N.	22. Avellaneda N. (G) 27. Soto J. C. 4. Tapia B. 42. Brasil M. 2. Espejo J. 24. Garcia L. 11. Leiva J. 20. Sandoval M. 7. Insaurralde C. (C) 33. Fernandez P. 17. Bravo C.
Substitutes
10. Assadi L. 26. Formiliano F. 5. Ojeda E. 30. Palacios C. 18. Pons L. 16. Sepulveda M. 1. Toselli C. (G)	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 10. Borgnino M. 5. Gonzalez R. 23. Javier Parraguez 35. Ogaz B. 6. Palma N. 37. Valdes B.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Giovagnoli D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ⚽, Guerra N. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Zaldivia M. ⚽, Poblete Zuniga I. E. (A),
37', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
45', Morales M. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Guerra N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez P. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
46', Soto J. C. ↓, Palma N. ↑,
59', Tapia B. 🟨,
60', Zaldivia M. ↓, Formiliano F. ↑,
61', Diaz M. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
61', Aranguiz C. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
62', Bravo C. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
67', Guerra N. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
69', Sandoval M. 🟨,
73', Garcia L. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
84', Morales M. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
84', Brasil M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Guerrero Pena M. G. ⚽, Assadi L. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 5.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Universidad de Chile is indisputable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.24	OHiggins - Universidad de Chile	0:4 ✺
10.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Cobresal - Universidad de Chile	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.24	Unión Española - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Cobreloa - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Cobresal - Cobreloa	3:2 ✺
29.07.24	Cobreloa - Palestino	3:1 ✺
19.07.24	Huachipato - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
31.03.24	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	1:3
Chilean Cup
14.07.18	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	2:3
07.07.18	Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa	2:1
21.10.15	Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa	3:0
15.10.15	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
11.04.15	Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa	4:0
08.11.14	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	0:4

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