Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 12

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Southern League Premier South 🌤️ ...


	Evesham United		Bath City

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.45	1.72
	3.87	3.68	1.74
	3.98	3.9	1.78	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.7
	3.98	3.62	1.72
	3.8	3.55	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.06)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
23.3%

Draw
24.8%

Bath City
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.2%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evesham United's form might have worsened.

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bath City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bath City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Evesham United - Bath City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bath (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bath (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bath (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Tillson J. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Recent results have been tough for Evesham (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bath has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Evesham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bath carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bath	13	8	2	3	19:10	9	26
16	Evesham	13	4	1	8	15:26	-11	13

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Uxbridge - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Poole Town - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
29.09.26	Evesham United - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Redditch United - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Evesham United - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT
- Bath City
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Bath City - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Bath City - Malvern Town	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Frome Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Evesham United - Bath City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide