Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Evesham United		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.65	3.5
	1.82	3.87	3.51
	1.85	4.03	3.57	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.82	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.19)	3.75 ↑ (3.54)	3.51 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
49.8%

Draw
24.3%

Gosport Borough
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evesham United's performance.

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evesham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Evesham United - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, Kasimu H. ⚽,
55', 0 - 2, Wooden D. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Wright A. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Oastler J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).

Evesham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gosport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Evesham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Evesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Evesham	9	4	1	4	14:17	-3	13
13	Gosport	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Evesham United - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Yate Town - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Evesham United - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
31.03.26	Tiverton Town - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Evesham United	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWL
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Gosport Borough - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.12.25	Gosport Borough - Evesham United	1:0

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