Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		ADO 20 Heemskerk

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	4.75
	1.34	5	6.4
	1.33	5.09	6.5
	1.38	5.06	7.12	Watch
	1.28	5	8.5
	1.34	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)	4.79 ↑ (4.3)	6.55 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
67%

Draw
19.1%

ADO 20 Heemskerk
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. 4. Heuvelman D. 5. Overman G. 27. Plank D. 18. van Eerden J. 21. Udenhout J. 22. Semedo E. 30. van Mil M. 11. Langedijk P.	1. Zwaan J. (G) 5. Siegerist D. 12. Richard J. 17. Prijor D. 7. Blel Y. 19. Kroon S. 8. Glim F. 20. Groothusen T. 28. Rienstra D. 26. George D. 10. Helder J.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 28. Linger T. 15. Nagtegaal N. 17. Reemst B. 16. van der Harst D. (G) 14. van der Sande O.	6. Carbaat T. 22. Deen V. (G) 4. Hirasingh Y. 11. Holtkamp S. 16. Kaaijmolen N. 21. Knott S. 3. Wilffert O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, van Mil M. ⚽, Semedo E. (A),
34', Richard J. ↓, Carbaat T. ↑,
45', Langedijk P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Langedijk P. ↓, van der Sande O. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, van der Sande O. ⚽,
77', Prijor D. ↓, Knott S. ↑,
79', Plank D. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie).

Excelsior Maassluis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ADO 20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is considered a favorite.

We predict that Excelsior Maassluis will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
10.05.25	Katwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Excelsior Maassluis - ACV	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	De Treffers - Excelsior Maassluis	3:4 ✺
12.04.25	HHC Hardenberg - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Excelsior Maassluis - RKAV Volendam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WTWTW
- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
10.05.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - HHC Hardenberg	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	RKAV Volendam - ADO 20 Heemskerk	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - GVVV	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Jong Almere City - ADO 20 Heemskerk	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
04.02.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	0:4
23.03.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	3:0
14.10.23	Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk	0:1

Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide