The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 50.2%
Draw 24.9%
Excelsior Maassluis 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
25.6%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
22.1%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amsterdamsche FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Amsterdamsche FC - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Tier B. (G) 4. Ederveen S. 23. van Rhijn R. 3. Markiet G. (C) 55. Letschert T. 6. Benninga N. 29. Fonseca R. 22. Shenkman N. 25. Brussee D. 28. Gouda D. 11. Okunbor O.
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 26. Bronder S. 6. van Eerden J. 2. Tureaij C. (C) 8. Udenhout J. 17. Slagveer D. 10. Madi A. 21. Nagtegaal N. 30. Hamd Y. 19. van der Velden S. 11. Tavares Q.
Substitutes
17. Ascencion D. 30. Berghuis J. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 8. Hoek M. 27. Lee I. 12. van Leeuwen A. 18. Wildschut Y.
20. Boukhari H. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 18. Hulshoff D. 24. Lopes Varela D. 12. Riley B. 29. Smits S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Shenkman N. ⚽, Okunbor O. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Tavares Q. ⚽, Slagveer D. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Shenkman N. ⚽, Gouda D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Brussee D. ↓, Lee I. ↑,
54', Markiet G. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
68', Okunbor O. ↓, Wildschut Y. ↑,
68', Hamd Y. ↓, Hulshoff D. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Tavares Q. ⚽, Bronder S. (A),
75', 3 - 2, Gouda D. ⚽, Wildschut Y. (A),
76', Udenhout J. ↓, Riley B. ↑,
82', Shenkman N. ↓, el Ibrahimi K. ↑,
82', Tier B. ↓, Berghuis J. ↑,
84', Bronder S. ↓, Lopes Varela D. ↑,
85', Nagtegaal N. ↓, Boukhari H. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 1.
Recent performances by AFC have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Excelsior Maassluis has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, AFC is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, AFC won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, AFC won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
Watch
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Tier B. (G) 
Ascencion D. 
van Leeuwen A. 
Wildschut Y. 
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