Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	20:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4


	Excelsior Virton		Genk

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.22
	8.25	5.25	1.27
	11	5.8	1.24	Watch
	9.72	5.55	1.23
	8.7	5.2	1.28
	9.5	5.5	1.19
	9.55	5.15	1.28	Watch
	9.6	5.6	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.42 ↑ (5.16)	5.44 ↑ (4.05)	1.24 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
9.7%

Draw
16.8%

Genk
73.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.4%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.9%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Virton's form might have worsened.

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Virton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Excelsior Virton - Genk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Schrevel C. (G) 8. Arib G. 22. Assengue S. 13. Dembele A. 11. Hachem A. 4. Kari E. 24. Lambotte H. 18. Ntenda J. 3. Tchaptchet A. 17. Tormin T. 10. Wade P.	1. Leysen T. (G) 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 20. Amaro K. 17. Durosinmi R. 38. Heymans D. 8. Heynen B. 10. Ito J. 18. Kayembe J. 44. Kongolo J. 6. Smets M. 4. Tahirovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Durosinmi R. ⚽,
31', Assengue S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Genk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Genk holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
10.10.26	Excelsior Virton - Hasselt	3:4 ✺
20.09.26	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Excelsior Virton - Genk U23	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Excelsior Virton - Francs Borains	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Anderlecht U23 - Excelsior Virton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTWLW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.10.26	Genk - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Genk - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.09.26	Club Brugge - Genk	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Genk - Gent	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Anderlecht - Genk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.26	Eupen - Excelsior Virton	✺
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	✺

Excelsior Virton - Genk