Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Genk		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.00	4.00
	1.92	3.6	3.25
	2.02	3.8	3.19
	1.76	4.05	3.91
	1.93	3.45	3.15
	1.99	3.82	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)	3.79 ↓ (4.22)	3.44 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
49%

Draw
24.3%

Fortuna Sittard
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

22%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

23.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Genk - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leysen T. (G) 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 33. Afriyie J. 20. Amaro K. 23. Bibout A. 17. Durosinmi R. 63. Henry Z. 38. Heymans D. 8. Heynen B. (C) 5. Ravych C. 55. Yoshinaga Y.	31. Branderhorst M. (G) 23. Brittijn P. 8. Dahlhaus J. 15. de Groot N. 9. Descotte A. 3. Guth R. 52. Ihattaren M. 20. Michut E. 12. Pinto I. 24. Sinkgraven D. 6. van Ottele S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Heynen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this matchup, Genk is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Genk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 0.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Genk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.09.26	Club Brugge - Genk	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Genk - Gent	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Anderlecht - Genk	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Genk - Beveren	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTWT
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.26	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	ADO Den Haag - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.26	Fortuna Sittard - Genk	2:1
04.07.25	Fortuna Sittard - Genk	0:1
10.01.19	Genk - Fortuna Sittard	1:0
19.07.12	Fortuna Sittard - Genk	N/A

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