Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Leuven B

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5.25
	1.64	4.08	4.45
	1.46	4.64	5.62
	1.45	4.61	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.99)	4.42 ↑ (3.61)	5.26 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
61.5%

Draw
20.9%

Leuven B
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Leuven B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leuven B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leuven B than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leuven B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

Virton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leuven B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leuven B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Virton to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
04.05.24	Cappellen - Excelsior Virton	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Excelsior Virton - Heist	4:2 ✺
20.04.24	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Excelsior Virton - Royal Antwerp 2	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWWT
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven B
Belgian National Division 1
04.05.24	Leuven B - Royal Antwerp 2	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Gent B - Leuven B	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Leuven B - Thes Sport	2:3 ✺
14.04.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Leuven B	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Leuven B - Charleroi B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
19.11.23	Leuven B - Excelsior Virton	0:2

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