Match Info

Date: 28 February 2020, Friday


	Excelsior Virton		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	8
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.53	4	5.75
	1.45	4.06	5.73
	1.47	4.46	6.79
	1.5	4.2	5.8
	1.52	4.4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.82)	4.07 ↑ (3.46)	6.08 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
61.8%

Draw
22.9%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

21.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oud-Heverlee Leuven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	9.7%	22.6%

Excelsior Virton - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Virton will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Leuven will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virton: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.02.20	Westerlo - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
16.02.20	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
08.02.20	Excelsior Virton - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
02.02.20	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Roeselare - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTW
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.02.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	3:5 ✺
14.02.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
08.02.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Lommel	3:0 ✺
01.02.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Roeselare	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.12.19	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Excelsior Virton	0:2
08.11.19	Excelsior Virton - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:1
03.08.19	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Excelsior Virton	1:0
14.03.15	Excelsior Virton - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:2
17.10.14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Excelsior Virton	1:1

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