The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Talavera de la Reina 39.1%
Draw 31.3%
Zamora 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.9%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Talavera de la Reina - Zamora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 2. Cuenca D. 5. Molina S. 3. Roig A. 17. Ouacharaf B. 6. Pitu 15. Acosta L. 21. Montero Sergio 8. Sanchez L. 7. Di Renzo G. 20. Ferni
1. Sobron F. (G) 5. Ruiz E. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 20. Codina M. 14. Moreno D. 16. Lozano M. 6. Garcia M. 10. Ramos C. 19. Abde 15. Buron L. 9. Losada M.
Substitutes
23. Farrando M. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Lopez A. 14. Molina A. 9. Moreno M. 24. Nordin M.
4. Athuman I. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J. 27. Sy M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
25', Cuenca D. 🟨,
36', Losada M. 🟨,
38', Molina S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
62', Sanchez L. 🟨,
67', Buron L. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
70', Ferni ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
70', Acosta L. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
70', Cuenca D. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
72', Abde 🟨,
78', Moreno D. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
78', Losada M. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
80', Montero Sergio ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
87', Abde ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6).
Talavera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zamora is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Talavera could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Zamora
6
3
1
2
8:6
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Zamora - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.